{"id":595344,"date":"2025-05-01T18:34:56","date_gmt":"2025-05-01T18:34:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/drewdodds.vipmtginc.com\/blog\/?p=595344"},"modified":"2025-09-08T19:39:06","modified_gmt":"2025-09-08T19:39:06","slug":"mixed-results-from-march-home-sales","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drewdodds.vipmtginc.com\/blog\/2025\/05\/01\/mixed-results-from-march-home-sales\/","title":{"rendered":"Mixed Results From March Home Sales"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"has-xlarge-font-size wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Week of April 21, 2025 in Review<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Home sales showed mixed results for new and existing properties in March, while the Federal Reserve&#8217;s latest Beige Book highlights how trade policy uncertainty is affecting businesses nationwide. Read on for these updates and more. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Existing Home Sales Fall Below Expectations<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>New Home Sales Climb in March<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u201cPervasive\u201d Uncertainty Clouds Economic Outlook, Fed Report Shows<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Jobless Claims Show Business Caution<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Family Hack of the Week<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>What to Look for This Week<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Technical Picture<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-xlarge-font-size wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Existing Home Sales Fall Below Expectations<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"767\" height=\"506\" src=\"https:\/\/drewdodds.vipmtginc.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Existing-Home-Sales-5.1.25.png\" alt=\"Existing Home Sales May 2025\" class=\"wp-image-595349\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drewdodds.vipmtginc.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Existing-Home-Sales-5.1.25.png 767w, https:\/\/drewdodds.vipmtginc.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Existing-Home-Sales-5.1.25-300x198.png 300w, https:\/\/drewdodds.vipmtginc.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Existing-Home-Sales-5.1.25-200x132.png 200w, https:\/\/drewdodds.vipmtginc.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Existing-Home-Sales-5.1.25-400x264.png 400w, https:\/\/drewdodds.vipmtginc.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Existing-Home-Sales-5.1.25-600x396.png 600w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 767px) 100vw, 767px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">March existing home closings disappointed, dropping 5.9% from February \u2013 nearly double the forecasted 3% decline. All regions saw decreases, with the West experiencing the largest drop, partly due to California wildfires delaying closings. These figures likely reflect transactions started in January and February when mortgage rates were higher. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>What\u2019s the bottom line?<\/strong> While inventory increased to 1.33 million units (up 8.1% month-over-month and 19.8% year over-year), context is crucial. Current inventory levels remain near 30-year lows, significantly below pre-pandemic figures and almost 3 million units less than during the housing bubble period. This persistent supply shortage, combined with pent-up buyer demand, is a good sign for continued home price appreciation. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-xlarge-font-size wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>New Home Sales Climb in March <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"766\" height=\"506\" src=\"https:\/\/drewdodds.vipmtginc.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/New-Home-Sales-5.1.25.png\" alt=\"New Home Sales March 2025\" class=\"wp-image-595350\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drewdodds.vipmtginc.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/New-Home-Sales-5.1.25.png 766w, https:\/\/drewdodds.vipmtginc.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/New-Home-Sales-5.1.25-300x198.png 300w, https:\/\/drewdodds.vipmtginc.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/New-Home-Sales-5.1.25-200x132.png 200w, https:\/\/drewdodds.vipmtginc.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/New-Home-Sales-5.1.25-400x264.png 400w, https:\/\/drewdodds.vipmtginc.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/New-Home-Sales-5.1.25-600x396.png 600w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 766px) 100vw, 766px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">New home contracts increased for the second consecutive month in March, rising 7.4% from February. This growth exceeded market forecasts, fueled primarily by strong contract activity in the Southern region. Year-over-year sales showed a 6% increase. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">While the median home price fell 1.9% to $403,600 from February, this doesn&#8217;t indicate declining home values nationwide. Rather, the median price \u2013 representing the middle point of all homes sold \u2013 shifted due to more sales occurring in the South&#8217;s relatively less expensive market, even as home prices continue rising across the country. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>What\u2019s the bottom line?<\/strong> While limited existing home inventory has redirected some buyers to new construction, supply still lags buyer interest. Of the 503,000 new homes available at the end of March, only 119,000 were completed, with the remainder either under construction or not yet started. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-xlarge-font-size wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\u201cPervasive\u201d Uncertainty Clouds Economic Outlook, Fed Report Shows <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Fed&#8217;s latest Beige Book indicates economic activity has remained stable since the previous report, but uncertainty about international trade policy is &#8220;pervasive&#8221; across all regions. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Key findings include strong auto sales as consumers purchased ahead of tariffs, while non-auto spending declined. Both domestic and international tourism dropped, potentially signaling trouble for the travel sector. Many businesses are delaying hiring decisions due to tariff concerns. Economic decline reports doubled from two to four districts since the last assessment. Price increases were widespread, with businesses expecting tariff-driven cost increases. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>What\u2019s the bottom line? <\/strong>The Beige Book, published eight times yearly before Federal Open Market Committee meetings, offers qualitative insights from all 12 Federal Reserve districts. This report \u2013 the first reflecting recently implemented broad tariffs \u2013 mentioned tariffs 107 times (more than double the previous report), highlighting how trade uncertainty dominates economic concerns. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-xlarge-font-size wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Jobless Claims Show Business Caution <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Weekly initial jobless claims edged up by 6,000 to 222,000, though they remain at historically low levels. Meanwhile, continuing unemployment claims dropped by 37,000 to 1.841 million. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>What\u2019s the bottom line?<\/strong> While new unemployment filings have stayed relatively low lately, continuing claims have consistently exceeded 1.8 million since last June. This suggests unemployed workers are taking longer to find new positions and companies are hiring more slowly, as businesses maintain a cautious &#8220;wait and see&#8221; approach amid economic uncertainty and tariff concerns. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-xlarge-font-size wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Family Hack of the Week <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">April 30 marks both National Raisin Day and National Oatmeal Cookie Day \u2013 the perfect occasion to try these delicious Raisin Pecan Oatmeal Cookies from Food Network. This recipe yields 30 to 35 cookies. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>First, preheat your oven to 350 degrees Fahrenheit. <\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Spread 1 1\/2 cups of pecans on a baking sheet and bake for 5 minutes until crisp. <\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Allow the pecans to cool, then chop them coarsely. <\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>In a stand mixer fitted with the paddle attachment, beat 1\/2 pound (2 sticks) of unsalted butter (at room temperature), 1 cup of lightly packed dark brown sugar, and 1 cup of granulated sugar on medium-high speed until light and fluffy. <\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Reduce the mixer speed to low, then add 2 extra-large eggs one at a time, followed by 2 teaspoons of vanilla. <\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>In a separate bowl, sift together 1 1\/2 cups of all-purpose flour, 1 teaspoon of baking powder, 1 teaspoon of ground cinnamon, and 1 teaspoon of kosher salt. <\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>With the mixer on low, gradually add the dry ingredients to the butter mixture. <\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Finally, fold in 3 cups of old-fashioned oatmeal, 1 1\/2 cups of raisins, and the chopped pecans until just combined.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Scoop 2-inch mounds of dough onto parchment-lined baking sheets. <\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Bake for 12 to 15 minutes, until lightly browned. <\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Transfer the cookies to a cooling rack and let them cool completely.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-xlarge-font-size wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>What to Look for This Week <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This week\u2019s very busy calendar includes more housing data, with appreciation figures on Tuesday and Pending Home Sales Wednesday. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Wednesday also brings two critical reports on the economy: the Federal Reserve&#8217;s preferred inflation metric, the Personal Consumption Expenditures index and the first reading on first quarter GDP. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">There\u2019s also a full slate of labor market news, with updates on job openings Tuesday, private payrolls Wednesday, unemployment claims Thursday, and non-farm payrolls and the unemployment rate on Friday. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-xlarge-font-size wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Technical Picture <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Mortgage Bonds broke through significant resistance last week, climbing above three key technical levels: the 25-day, 50 day, and 200-day Moving Averages. There&#8217;s still upward potential for bonds before hitting the next resistance point at 101.39. Meanwhile, the 10-year Treasury yield moved in the opposite direction, falling below its 25-day Moving Average support level last Friday. The next support to watch is at its 200-day Moving Average.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">If you had any questions, please feel free to <a href=\"https:\/\/drewdodds.vipmtginc.com\/blog\/\">contact me! <\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Week of April 21, 2025 in Review Home sales showed mixed results for new and existing properties in March, while the Federal Reserve&#8217;s latest Beige Book highlights how trade policy uncertainty is affecting businesses nationwide. Read on for these updates and more. Existing Home Sales Fall Below Expectations March existing home closings disappointed, dropping 5.9% [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":26,"featured_media":595349,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-595344","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-newsletter"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Mixed Results From March Home Sales - Drew Dodds<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Home sales showed mixed results for new and existing properties in March, while the Federal Reserve&#039;s latest Beige Book highlights how trade policy uncertainty is affecting businesses nationwide.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drewdodds.vipmtginc.com\/blog\/2025\/05\/01\/mixed-results-from-march-home-sales\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Mixed Results From March Home Sales - 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