{"id":595575,"date":"2025-11-12T19:14:18","date_gmt":"2025-11-12T19:14:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/drewdodds.vipmtginc.com\/blog\/?p=595575"},"modified":"2025-11-12T19:14:20","modified_gmt":"2025-11-12T19:14:20","slug":"october-jobs-rebound-housing-outlook-remains-strong","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drewdodds.vipmtginc.com\/blog\/2025\/11\/12\/october-jobs-rebound-housing-outlook-remains-strong\/","title":{"rendered":"October Jobs Rebound as Housing Outlook Holds Firm"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"381\" src=\"https:\/\/drewdodds.vipmtginc.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/AdobeStock_1102276878-1024x381.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-595576\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drewdodds.vipmtginc.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/AdobeStock_1102276878-1024x381.jpeg 1024w, https:\/\/drewdodds.vipmtginc.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/AdobeStock_1102276878-300x112.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/drewdodds.vipmtginc.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/AdobeStock_1102276878-768x286.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/drewdodds.vipmtginc.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/AdobeStock_1102276878-1536x572.jpeg 1536w, https:\/\/drewdodds.vipmtginc.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/AdobeStock_1102276878-2048x763.jpeg 2048w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">A creative depiction of houses and coins, symbolizing real estate investment and wealth growth in the housing market.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Market Update (Fueled by Economists)<\/strong><br><em>Week of November 10, 2025<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">If you\u2019re catching this update for the first time, our goal is to provide a quick, 30,000-foot view of what\u2019s happening in the mortgage and housing markets each week \u2014 helping you stay informed about where rates and trends may be heading.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\ud83c\udfe6 Rates and Market Overview<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">As of November 3rd, the <strong>30-year fixed rate<\/strong> (at zero points) was <strong>0.125% higher<\/strong> compared to the prior week. While rates inched up slightly, underlying data continues to support a stable, balanced housing environment heading into year-end.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\ud83d\udcbc Job Market: Modest Growth After Two-Month Dip<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">October marked a rebound for private payrolls after back-to-back months of losses. According to <strong>ADP<\/strong>, the private sector added <strong>42,000 new jobs<\/strong>, signaling modest but meaningful progress in employment trends.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Who\u2019s Hiring:<\/strong> Large firms led the gains (+73,000 jobs), while small (-10,000) and medium-sized (-21,000) businesses continued to trim payrolls.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Where the Growth Happened:<\/strong> Sectors such as <strong>trade, transportation, and utilities<\/strong> added 47,000 positions, while roughly half of industries still saw declines.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Wages:<\/strong> Pay growth remained steady, up <strong>6.7% for job switchers<\/strong> and <strong>4.5% for job stayers<\/strong> \u2014 showing a labor market that\u2019s cooling but still balanced.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Overall, these figures suggest that while the hiring pace remains slow, the economy is avoiding a major contraction in employment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\ud83c\udfe0 Housing Market: Stability Amid Rate Adjustments<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Despite a <strong>0.2% dip in home prices in September<\/strong>, values remain <strong>1.2% higher year-over-year<\/strong>, and analysts are optimistic. <strong>Cotality<\/strong> now forecasts <strong>a 4.1% rise in home prices over the next 12 months<\/strong>, fueled by easing rate expectations and steady demand.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Buyers who stepped back earlier in the year due to affordability concerns may see renewed opportunities if rates stabilize further \u2014 especially in markets where inventory remains tight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\ud83e\udded What\u2019s Next<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Several key reports were delayed due to the government shutdown, but upcoming data to watch includes:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>ICE Home Price Index<\/strong> (to confirm September\u2019s housing performance)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>NFIB Small Business Optimism Index<\/strong> (for sentiment and hiring trends)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Treasury Auctions:<\/strong> 10-year on Wednesday and 30-year on Thursday \u2014 both of which could influence rate movement heading into mid-November.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Meanwhile, <strong>Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell<\/strong> has noted that another December rate cut isn\u2019t guaranteed, reinforcing the Fed\u2019s \u201cwait-and-see\u201d approach as inflation data catches up.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\ud83d\udcac Bottom Line<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A modest jobs rebound and stable housing outlook point toward a market that\u2019s finding its footing. While rates nudged slightly higher, the overall forecast for the next year remains positive \u2014 especially for home values.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">If you\u2019re watching the market or planning your next move, now\u2019s a good time to stay in touch with your loan professional to explore options before potential shifts in December\u2019s Fed meeting.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Cheers,<\/strong><br><strong>Drew &amp; Team<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Market Update (Fueled by Economists)Week of November 10, 2025 If you\u2019re catching this update for the first time, our goal is to provide a quick, 30,000-foot view of what\u2019s happening in the mortgage and housing markets each week \u2014 helping you stay informed about where rates and trends may be heading. \ud83c\udfe6 Rates and Market [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":26,"featured_media":595576,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-595575","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-newsletter"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>October Jobs Rebound as Housing Outlook Holds Firm - Drew Dodds<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"October\u2019s private payrolls showed modest growth with 42,000 new jobs added, signaling a steady labor market. 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