{"id":595612,"date":"2026-02-02T21:23:49","date_gmt":"2026-02-02T21:23:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/drewdodds.vipmtginc.com\/blog\/?p=595612"},"modified":"2026-02-02T21:23:50","modified_gmt":"2026-02-02T21:23:50","slug":"weekly-mortgage-market-update-fed-rates-jobs-data","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drewdodds.vipmtginc.com\/blog\/2026\/02\/02\/weekly-mortgage-market-update-fed-rates-jobs-data\/","title":{"rendered":"Weekly Mortgage Market Update: Rates, the Fed, and What Comes Next"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full is-resized\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"645\" height=\"426\" src=\"https:\/\/drewdodds.vipmtginc.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Screenshot-2025-12-05-110952.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-595613\" style=\"aspect-ratio:1.5141033635329935;width:411px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drewdodds.vipmtginc.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Screenshot-2025-12-05-110952.png 645w, https:\/\/drewdodds.vipmtginc.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Screenshot-2025-12-05-110952-300x198.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 645px) 100vw, 645px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Each week, we provide a 30,000-foot view of mortgage rates and the broader economic forces shaping the housing market. Here\u2019s what happened last week\u2014and what we\u2019re watching next.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Mortgage Rates at a Glance<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>30-year fixed mortgage rate:<\/strong> up <strong>0.125%<\/strong> week over week since Monday, January 26<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Market Summary<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Markets spent last week digesting a potential shift in Federal Reserve leadership, ongoing internal debate at the Fed, mixed labor market signals, and inflation data that came in hotter than expected\u2014but in a very narrow segment of the economy. Meanwhile, home prices continue to show resilience, supported by easing mortgage rates and limited housing supply.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">What Happened Last Week<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Potential Fed Leadership Shift<\/strong><br>President Trump has announced plans to nominate former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh as the next Fed Chair. While Warsh has historically been viewed as an inflation hawk, his more recent commentary suggests greater openness to faster rate cuts\u2014an important development markets are watching closely.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Federal Reserve Policy Update<\/strong><br>The Fed held its <strong>short-term policy rate<\/strong> (not mortgage rates) steady at <strong>3.50%\u20133.75%<\/strong>, following three previous rate cuts. Notably, the decision was split, with two officials favoring an additional 25-basis-point reduction. Changes in the Fed\u2019s policy statement highlighted growing internal disagreement, particularly around risks to employment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Rates Outlook<\/strong><br>Markets currently expect the Fed to remain on hold over the next two meetings. However, upcoming economic data\u2014especially labor market reports\u2014could shift that outlook.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Home Prices Continue to Firm<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The <strong>Case-Shiller Home Price Index<\/strong> showed a modest monthly decline before seasonal adjustment but rose <strong>0.4% seasonally adjusted<\/strong> and <strong>1.4% year over year<\/strong>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The <strong>FHFA Home Price Index<\/strong> painted a stronger picture, with prices rising <strong>0.6% month over month<\/strong> and <strong>1.9% year over year<\/strong>, signaling continued momentum in mortgage-financed homes.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Labor Market Signals<\/strong><br>Initial and continuing jobless claims edged lower but remain elevated. This suggests slower re-employment and evolving worker behavior. One key trend to watch is the number of individuals surpassing the typical <strong>26-week cap on continuing jobless claims<\/strong>, which can vary by state.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Inflation Update<\/strong><br>December\u2019s Producer Price Index (PPI)\u2014a favored inflation gauge for the Fed\u2014came in hotter than expected. Importantly, the increases were concentrated in <strong>machinery and equipment margins<\/strong>, pointing to narrow but persistent inflation pressures rather than broad-based price acceleration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Looking Ahead<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This week brings a full slate of labor market data:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Tuesday:<\/strong> Job Openings report<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Wednesday:<\/strong> ADP private payrolls<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Thursday:<\/strong> Weekly jobless claims<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Friday:<\/strong> The highly anticipated employment report, including nonfarm payrolls and the unemployment rate<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">As always, we\u2019re monitoring the data closely and ready to help you navigate what it means for rates, housing, and your next move.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u2014 <strong>Drew &amp; Team<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Each week, we provide a 30,000-foot view of mortgage rates and the broader economic forces shaping the housing market. Here\u2019s what happened last week\u2014and what we\u2019re watching next. Mortgage Rates at a Glance Market Summary Markets spent last week digesting a potential shift in Federal Reserve leadership, ongoing internal debate at the Fed, mixed labor [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":26,"featured_media":595613,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-595612","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-newsletter"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Weekly Mortgage Market Update: Rates, the Fed, and What Comes Next - Drew Dodds<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Weekly mortgage market update covering rate movements, Federal Reserve policy, labor market trends, inflation data, and what to watch in the week ahead.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drewdodds.vipmtginc.com\/blog\/2026\/02\/02\/weekly-mortgage-market-update-fed-rates-jobs-data\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Weekly Mortgage Market Update: Rates, the Fed, and What Comes Next - 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