{"id":595666,"date":"2026-05-18T21:42:05","date_gmt":"2026-05-18T21:42:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/drewdodds.vipmtginc.com\/blog\/?p=595666"},"modified":"2026-05-18T21:42:06","modified_gmt":"2026-05-18T21:42:06","slug":"mortgage-market-update-inflation-rates-what-were-watching-this-week","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drewdodds.vipmtginc.com\/blog\/2026\/05\/18\/mortgage-market-update-inflation-rates-what-were-watching-this-week\/","title":{"rendered":"Mortgage Market Update: Inflation, Rates &#038; What We\u2019re Watching This Week"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Mortgage rates moved higher again last week, with market 30 year fixed rates increasing another 0.125% week over week. Inflation data came in hotter than expected, which added more pressure to both bond markets and interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Here\u2019s a look at what happened last week and what we\u2019ll be watching in the days ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Inflation Came in Higher Than Expected<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">One of the biggest stories last week was inflation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Consumer inflation, measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI), rose 0.6% in April and 3.8% year over year. Higher gas, fuel, and food prices were some of the biggest contributors.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Core inflation, which excludes food and energy, also came in above expectations:<br>\u2022 Up 0.4% for the month<br>\u2022 Up 2.8% year over year<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Wholesale inflation also showed continued pressure. Producer Price Index (PPI) data rose 1.4% monthly and 6% annually, reflecting ongoing increases in energy and production costs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Inflation remaining elevated continues to make the Federal Reserve\u2019s job more difficult as markets look for clues about future interest rate policy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The Fed Continues Balancing Inflation &amp; Economic Slowdown Concerns<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Federal Reserve is currently navigating competing concerns.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">On one side, inflation remains stubbornly high. On the other, there are signs the labor market may be gradually slowing down.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Kevin Warsh was officially confirmed as the new Fed Chair, and markets are now closely watching the upcoming June Fed meeting for additional guidance. Warsh has historically taken a firm stance on inflation, which could influence future policy decisions moving forward.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Housing Inventory Is Improving<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">There was some encouraging news in housing last week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Existing home sales rose slightly by 0.2% in April, while housing inventory increased to 1.47 million homes nationwide.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Although inventory remains below historical averages, more homes hitting the market is helping ease some of the intense competition buyers have experienced over the last few years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Bidding wars have cooled in many markets, and affordability has improved modestly compared to previous months.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Consumers Are Still Spending<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Retail sales increased 0.5% in April, showing consumers are continuing to spend despite higher fuel and living costs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">At the same time, labor market data showed a mixed picture:<br>\u2022 Initial jobless claims remained relatively low<br>\u2022 Continuing unemployment claims stayed elevated<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This suggests employers are still holding onto workers overall, but people searching for jobs may be taking longer to find new employment opportunities.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Mortgage Rates Continue Facing Pressure<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Mortgage bonds weakened last week, while the 10 year Treasury yield moved above key resistance levels.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In general, higher Treasury yields tend to lead to higher mortgage rates, which is part of why rates moved upward again over the past week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Markets continue reacting to inflation data, Fed expectations, and broader economic uncertainty.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">What We\u2019re Watching This Week<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Several reports this week could influence mortgage rates and market sentiment, including:<br>\u2022 Builder confidence<br>\u2022 Pending home sales<br>\u2022 New home construction data<br>\u2022 Federal Reserve meeting minutes<br>\u2022 Updated jobless claims<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">As always, markets will continue watching inflation trends, labor market data, and signals from the Federal Reserve closely.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">If you have any questions about today\u2019s market or how rates may impact your plans, feel free to reach out anytime.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Mortgage rates moved higher again last week, with market 30 year fixed rates increasing another 0.125% week over week. Inflation data came in hotter than expected, which added more pressure to both bond markets and interest rates. Here\u2019s a look at what happened last week and what we\u2019ll be watching in the days ahead. Inflation [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":26,"featured_media":595669,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-595666","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-newsletter"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Mortgage Market Update: Inflation, Rates &amp; What We\u2019re Watching This Week - Drew Dodds<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drewdodds.vipmtginc.com\/blog\/2026\/05\/18\/mortgage-market-update-inflation-rates-what-were-watching-this-week\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Mortgage Market Update: Inflation, Rates &amp; What We\u2019re Watching This Week - Drew Dodds\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Mortgage rates moved higher again last week, with market 30 year fixed rates increasing another 0.125% week over week. 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